Understanding Risk and Return
Which investor is in the best position after six years of effort? Which investor is in the worst position? Answer these questions after looking at the table below.
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Investor A
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Investor B
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Investor C
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Annual Returns
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Year 1
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21%
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21%
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21%
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Year 2
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- 55%
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-27%
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6%
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Year 3
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30%
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20%
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18%
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Year 4
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30%
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21%
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15%
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Year 5
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25%
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20%
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18%
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Year 6
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100%
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50%
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13%
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Investor A is a typical risk taker who seeks a high annual return no matter what the risk. In five out of six years, A’s portfolio recorded attractive gains of between 21% and 100%, but A was the poorest performer of the lot. His second year loss of 55% has caused him to underperform the others despite his sixth year gain of 100%! A $100,000 investment grew to $230,051 achieving an annual compound return of 14.9%.
Investor B’s results were less volatile and he suffered only one down year. His second year loss of 27% caused him to come in second. A $100,000 investment grew to $230,859 achieving an annual compound return of 15.0%.
Investor C was the most consistent investor who did not suffer any down years. He kept a close eye on investment risk and tried to minimize it. Perhaps he invested in one of Bay Capital’s defensive investment programs. Even though he substantially underperformed A and B four out of six years, he was the best performer over the entire period and probably slept better at night than either one. A $100,000 investment grew to $232,077 achieving an annual compound return of 15.1%.
NOTE: This is a mathematical illustration only and does not reflect any particular investment results.
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